11
Oct
0

Week 6: Lazy & Blind Rankings

Back this week with the updated rankings. I’ve also made a tweak to the conference ranking formula used last week that you’ll see below. A brief overview of the ranking formula:

  1. I picked the simplest scale I could think of: 1-9
  2. Teams are given a point value for every game on their schedule thus far. The point system looks like this:
    Opp Team & Result Win Pts Loss Pts
    BCS – Road 9 -1
    BCS – Neutral 8 -2
    BCS – Home 7 -3
    Non-BCS – Road 6 -4
    Non-BCS – Neutral 5 -5
    Non-BCS – Home 4 -6
    1-AA – Road 3 -7
    1-AA – Neutral 2 -8
    1-AA – Home 1 -9

    So beating a BCS team on the road is worth 9 points, but losing to a 1-AA team at home docks you 9 points.

  3. To get a teams culmative score, you assign the correct value for the game and sum up all of the resulting values. So, for example, beating a BCS team on the road, but losing to a Non-BCS team at home would give you a total of 3 points.
  4. These are non-weighted scores, which is where the ‘Blind’ part comes in. This means the actual opponent doesn’t matter. So beating Duke on the road is the same as beating Florida on the road.

Teams

Tidbits

  1. With 4 teams in the top-10 and 5 in the top-15, the SEC is the sexy conference right now. Strangely, the next SEC team isn’t until 35 and that’s Georgia. The rest of the SEC is pretty bad.
  2. Despite their big win at LSU last night, Florida has still not played a top-5 schedule.
  3. The ACC has two teams in the top-5. Va Tech is not a surprise, but Georgia Tech gets in with 2 road wins and 2 home wins over BCS teams combined with a single loss on the road to a BCS team.
  4. The Big East is not nearly as laughably as people thought at the start of the year.
Rank Conference Team Score
1 SEC Alabama 41
2 Big 10 Iowa 37
3 SEC LSU 35
4 ACC Virginia Tech 32
5 ACC Georgia Tech 32
6 Big 10 Ohio State 30
7 SEC Auburn 30
8 SEC Florida 30
9 Big East Cincinnati 29
10 MWC TCU 29
11 Big 12 Texas 28
12 Pac-10 USC 28
13 Pac-10 Oregon 28
14 SEC South Carolina 27
15 Big East South Florida 26
16 Big East Pittsburgh 26
17 Ind Notre Dame 26
18 Big 12 Kansas 25
19 MWC BYU 25
20 Pac-10 Stanford 25
21 WAC Idaho 25
22 Big 10 Wisconsin 24
23 WAC Boise State 24
24 ACC Miami 23
25 Big 10 Minnesota 23
26 MAC Central Michigan 23
27 Big 10 Penn State 22
28 CUSA Houston 22
29 MWC Utah 22
30 Big East WVU 20
31 ACC Wake 20
32 Big 10 Michigan 20
33 Big 12 Nebraska 20
34 CUSA Tulsa 18
35 SEC Georgia 18
36 ACC Boston College 17
37 Pac-10 Oregon St 17
38 Big 12 Missouri 16
39 Ind Navy 16
40 Pac-10 UCLA 16
41 Big 12 Oklahoma State 15
42 Big 10 Northwestern 14
43 Sun Belt Middle Tenn 14
44 MAC Ohio 13
45 Pac-10 Cal 13
46 Pac-10 Washington 13
47 Big East Rutgers 12
48 Pac-10 Arizona 12
49 SEC Mississippi 12
50 SEC Arkansas 12
51 ACC UNC 11
52 Big 10 MSU 11
53 Big 12 Texas Tech 11
54 MWC Wyoming 11
55 Big 12 Baylor 10
56 Big East Uconn 10
57 CUSA Marshall 10
58 Pac-10 Arizona St 10
59 Sun Belt La-Laff 10
60 CUSA SMU 9
61 MAC Toledo 9
62 Sun Belt La-Mon 9
63 Sun Belt Troy 9
64 SEC Tenn 8
65 Big 12 Texas A&M 7
66 Ind Army 7
67 MAC Northern ILL 7
68 Big 10 Indiana 6
69 Big 12 Oklahoma 6
70 CUSA Southern Miss 6
71 Big 12 Kansas State 5
72 CUSA East Carolina 5
73 MAC W. Michigan 5
74 Big 12 Iowa State 4
75 MAC Temple 4
76 SEC Kentucky 4
77 ACC Clemson 3
78 ACC Duke 3
79 ACC NC State 2
80 CUSA UCF 1
81 MWC Air Force 0
82 MWC Colorado St 0
83 WAC Nevada 0
84 WAC Fresno State -1
85 Big East Syracuse -2
86 CUSA UTEP -2
87 ACC FSU -3
88 ACC Maryland -3
89 ACC Virginia -3
90 Big East Louisville -3
91 CUSA UAB -3
92 SEC Miss St -3
93 MWC San Diego St. -4
94 SEC Vandy -4
95 WAC Hawaii -4
96 WAC La Tech -4
97 WAC New Mexico St. -5
98 MAC Kent St -6
99 Sun Belt FIU -6
100 MAC Bowling Green -7
101 Sun Belt Arkansas St -7
102 Big 10 Illinois -8
103 Big 12 Colorado -8
104 Big 10 Purdue -10
105 MAC Buffalo -10
106 CUSA Tulane -11
107 Sun Belt North Texas -11
108 CUSA Memphis -12
109 MWC UNLV -12
110 WAC Utah St. -12
111 MAC Akron -13
112 Pac-10 Wash St -13
113 WAC San Jose St -13
114 Sun Belt FAU -14
115 CUSA Rice -17
116 MAC Eastern Michigan -18
117 MAC Miami (OH) -19
118 Sun Belt W. Kentucky -23
119 MWC New Mexico -24
120 MAC Ball State -30

Conferences

Last week, I presented conference rankings as a simple aggregate of the individual member scores found above. I realized that such a formula would skew in favor of conferences with a small number of teams in with very high scores. So from now on, I’ll be dividing a conferences aggregate by the number of teams in that conference.

Tidbits:

  1. The conference order didn’t change at all.
  2. The gap between the Big 12 and the ACC is incredibly small. That flies in the face of the conventional wisdom of the Big 12 being the 1A to the SECs 1 conference ranking.
  3. The only non-conference games left for the Pac-10 are against Notre Dame.
Rank Conference Score
1 SEC 17.5
2 Big 10 16.9
3 Pac-10 14.9
4 Big East 14.75
5 Big 12 11.58
6 ACC 11.17
7 MWC 5.22
8 CUSA 2.17
9 WAC 1.11
10 Sun Belt –2.11
11 MAC –3.23

Wrapping up

I’ll use this ranking for my Mumme Ballot for one more week. Next week, every 1-A team will have played at least 6 games, so I’ll transition to a more exhaustive ranking formula. I’ll be unveiling it this week

Enjoyed reading this post?
Subscribe to the RSS feed and have all new posts delivered straight to you.
Post your comment



Celadon theme by the Themes Boutique