Week 6: Lazy & Blind Rankings
Back this week with the updated rankings. I’ve also made a tweak to the conference ranking formula used last week that you’ll see below. A brief overview of the ranking formula:
- I picked the simplest scale I could think of: 1-9
- Teams are given a point value for every game on their schedule thus far. The point system looks like this:
Opp Team & Result Win Pts Loss Pts BCS – Road 9 -1 BCS – Neutral 8 -2 BCS – Home 7 -3 Non-BCS – Road 6 -4 Non-BCS – Neutral 5 -5 Non-BCS – Home 4 -6 1-AA – Road 3 -7 1-AA – Neutral 2 -8 1-AA – Home 1 -9 So beating a BCS team on the road is worth 9 points, but losing to a 1-AA team at home docks you 9 points.
- To get a teams culmative score, you assign the correct value for the game and sum up all of the resulting values. So, for example, beating a BCS team on the road, but losing to a Non-BCS team at home would give you a total of 3 points.
- These are non-weighted scores, which is where the ‘Blind’ part comes in. This means the actual opponent doesn’t matter. So beating Duke on the road is the same as beating Florida on the road.
Teams
Tidbits
- With 4 teams in the top-10 and 5 in the top-15, the SEC is the sexy conference right now. Strangely, the next SEC team isn’t until 35 and that’s Georgia. The rest of the SEC is pretty bad.
- Despite their big win at LSU last night, Florida has still not played a top-5 schedule.
- The ACC has two teams in the top-5. Va Tech is not a surprise, but Georgia Tech gets in with 2 road wins and 2 home wins over BCS teams combined with a single loss on the road to a BCS team.
- The Big East is not nearly as laughably as people thought at the start of the year.
| Rank | Conference | Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEC | Alabama | 41 |
| 2 | Big 10 | Iowa | 37 |
| 3 | SEC | LSU | 35 |
| 4 | ACC | Virginia Tech | 32 |
| 5 | ACC | Georgia Tech | 32 |
| 6 | Big 10 | Ohio State | 30 |
| 7 | SEC | Auburn | 30 |
| 8 | SEC | Florida | 30 |
| 9 | Big East | Cincinnati | 29 |
| 10 | MWC | TCU | 29 |
| 11 | Big 12 | Texas | 28 |
| 12 | Pac-10 | USC | 28 |
| 13 | Pac-10 | Oregon | 28 |
| 14 | SEC | South Carolina | 27 |
| 15 | Big East | South Florida | 26 |
| 16 | Big East | Pittsburgh | 26 |
| 17 | Ind | Notre Dame | 26 |
| 18 | Big 12 | Kansas | 25 |
| 19 | MWC | BYU | 25 |
| 20 | Pac-10 | Stanford | 25 |
| 21 | WAC | Idaho | 25 |
| 22 | Big 10 | Wisconsin | 24 |
| 23 | WAC | Boise State | 24 |
| 24 | ACC | Miami | 23 |
| 25 | Big 10 | Minnesota | 23 |
| 26 | MAC | Central Michigan | 23 |
| 27 | Big 10 | Penn State | 22 |
| 28 | CUSA | Houston | 22 |
| 29 | MWC | Utah | 22 |
| 30 | Big East | WVU | 20 |
| 31 | ACC | Wake | 20 |
| 32 | Big 10 | Michigan | 20 |
| 33 | Big 12 | Nebraska | 20 |
| 34 | CUSA | Tulsa | 18 |
| 35 | SEC | Georgia | 18 |
| 36 | ACC | Boston College | 17 |
| 37 | Pac-10 | Oregon St | 17 |
| 38 | Big 12 | Missouri | 16 |
| 39 | Ind | Navy | 16 |
| 40 | Pac-10 | UCLA | 16 |
| 41 | Big 12 | Oklahoma State | 15 |
| 42 | Big 10 | Northwestern | 14 |
| 43 | Sun Belt | Middle Tenn | 14 |
| 44 | MAC | Ohio | 13 |
| 45 | Pac-10 | Cal | 13 |
| 46 | Pac-10 | Washington | 13 |
| 47 | Big East | Rutgers | 12 |
| 48 | Pac-10 | Arizona | 12 |
| 49 | SEC | Mississippi | 12 |
| 50 | SEC | Arkansas | 12 |
| 51 | ACC | UNC | 11 |
| 52 | Big 10 | MSU | 11 |
| 53 | Big 12 | Texas Tech | 11 |
| 54 | MWC | Wyoming | 11 |
| 55 | Big 12 | Baylor | 10 |
| 56 | Big East | Uconn | 10 |
| 57 | CUSA | Marshall | 10 |
| 58 | Pac-10 | Arizona St | 10 |
| 59 | Sun Belt | La-Laff | 10 |
| 60 | CUSA | SMU | 9 |
| 61 | MAC | Toledo | 9 |
| 62 | Sun Belt | La-Mon | 9 |
| 63 | Sun Belt | Troy | 9 |
| 64 | SEC | Tenn | 8 |
| 65 | Big 12 | Texas A&M | 7 |
| 66 | Ind | Army | 7 |
| 67 | MAC | Northern ILL | 7 |
| 68 | Big 10 | Indiana | 6 |
| 69 | Big 12 | Oklahoma | 6 |
| 70 | CUSA | Southern Miss | 6 |
| 71 | Big 12 | Kansas State | 5 |
| 72 | CUSA | East Carolina | 5 |
| 73 | MAC | W. Michigan | 5 |
| 74 | Big 12 | Iowa State | 4 |
| 75 | MAC | Temple | 4 |
| 76 | SEC | Kentucky | 4 |
| 77 | ACC | Clemson | 3 |
| 78 | ACC | Duke | 3 |
| 79 | ACC | NC State | 2 |
| 80 | CUSA | UCF | 1 |
| 81 | MWC | Air Force | 0 |
| 82 | MWC | Colorado St | 0 |
| 83 | WAC | Nevada | 0 |
| 84 | WAC | Fresno State | -1 |
| 85 | Big East | Syracuse | -2 |
| 86 | CUSA | UTEP | -2 |
| 87 | ACC | FSU | -3 |
| 88 | ACC | Maryland | -3 |
| 89 | ACC | Virginia | -3 |
| 90 | Big East | Louisville | -3 |
| 91 | CUSA | UAB | -3 |
| 92 | SEC | Miss St | -3 |
| 93 | MWC | San Diego St. | -4 |
| 94 | SEC | Vandy | -4 |
| 95 | WAC | Hawaii | -4 |
| 96 | WAC | La Tech | -4 |
| 97 | WAC | New Mexico St. | -5 |
| 98 | MAC | Kent St | -6 |
| 99 | Sun Belt | FIU | -6 |
| 100 | MAC | Bowling Green | -7 |
| 101 | Sun Belt | Arkansas St | -7 |
| 102 | Big 10 | Illinois | -8 |
| 103 | Big 12 | Colorado | -8 |
| 104 | Big 10 | Purdue | -10 |
| 105 | MAC | Buffalo | -10 |
| 106 | CUSA | Tulane | -11 |
| 107 | Sun Belt | North Texas | -11 |
| 108 | CUSA | Memphis | -12 |
| 109 | MWC | UNLV | -12 |
| 110 | WAC | Utah St. | -12 |
| 111 | MAC | Akron | -13 |
| 112 | Pac-10 | Wash St | -13 |
| 113 | WAC | San Jose St | -13 |
| 114 | Sun Belt | FAU | -14 |
| 115 | CUSA | Rice | -17 |
| 116 | MAC | Eastern Michigan | -18 |
| 117 | MAC | Miami (OH) | -19 |
| 118 | Sun Belt | W. Kentucky | -23 |
| 119 | MWC | New Mexico | -24 |
| 120 | MAC | Ball State | -30 |
Conferences
Last week, I presented conference rankings as a simple aggregate of the individual member scores found above. I realized that such a formula would skew in favor of conferences with a small number of teams in with very high scores. So from now on, I’ll be dividing a conferences aggregate by the number of teams in that conference.
Tidbits:
- The conference order didn’t change at all.
- The gap between the Big 12 and the ACC is incredibly small. That flies in the face of the conventional wisdom of the Big 12 being the 1A to the SECs 1 conference ranking.
- The only non-conference games left for the Pac-10 are against Notre Dame.
| Rank | Conference | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEC | 17.5 |
| 2 | Big 10 | 16.9 |
| 3 | Pac-10 | 14.9 |
| 4 | Big East | 14.75 |
| 5 | Big 12 | 11.58 |
| 6 | ACC | 11.17 |
| 7 | MWC | 5.22 |
| 8 | CUSA | 2.17 |
| 9 | WAC | 1.11 |
| 10 | Sun Belt | –2.11 |
| 11 | MAC | –3.23 |
Wrapping up
I’ll use this ranking for my Mumme Ballot for one more week. Next week, every 1-A team will have played at least 6 games, so I’ll transition to a more exhaustive ranking formula. I’ll be unveiling it this week
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